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Nice weather kicks off the holiday weekend, but will the next storm system be a hit or miss?
"I believe at this point the odds do favor a miss rather than a hit."
The second full weekend of February, a long holiday one, is replete with lots of activities, including the start of winter break for many public schools in Massachusetts and Rhode Island. This means lots of folks heading out of town to points north or south, and weather can be a factor.
The good news is that I don’t see any weather issues on Friday, Saturday, or Sunday. I’ll get to the Monday forecast in a bit, which is a holiday for most.
As a skier, I’m actually feeling a bit of FOMO that I won’t be able to get up to the ski slopes this weekend. I know there’s going to be a lot of folks flocking to the mountains, and with the beautiful weather and abundant snow under those boards, conditions will be ideal.
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You’ll be finishing up school or work on Friday under mostly sunny skies with temperatures right around or a little above freezing. The snow we’ve received over the past several weeks will dramatically diminish not only from melting but also from something called “sublimation,” when the snow turns directly into a gas.
Saturday and Sunday: Very pleasant with a robust warmup
Saturday starts with temperatures in the teens in Southern New England and single digits up north, but there’s a robust warmup during the afternoon with lots of sunshine and light wind. This will be a big outdoor activity day with temperatures in the upper 30s in Southern New England and in the 20s up north. There won’t be much wind either, leading to a very pleasant day.
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Sunday is a carbon copy, although late in the afternoon some clouds will move in across Southern New England. It should remain completely sunny up north.
Monday: Watching a brewing coastal storm
Presidents Day on Monday sees a storm system pulling off the Carolina coastline and out into the Atlantic. As is always the case with coastal storms, the exact track of the system will determine whether there is a major, minor, or absolutely no impact on our area.
It’s Wednesday, and it is impossible to know if this will end up being another Southern New England snowstorm, but I believe at this point the odds do favor a miss rather than a hit.
Stay tuned to our latest forecast since things can change with each new model data run.
Holiday weekend breakdown
Greater Boston: Look for lots of sunshine both Saturday and Sunday with relatively light wind and temperatures in the mid-30s. Clouds arrive on Monday.
Central/Western Mass.: Look for a beautiful weekend with partly to mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-30s both Saturday and Sunday; some clouds are likely Monday.
Southeastern Mass.: You can expect sunshine both Saturday and Sunday with temperatures in the mid-30s. Mostly cloudy skies on Monday.
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Cape and Islands: Look for a dry weekend with temperatures in the mid-30s both Saturday and Sunday; clouds arrive for Monday.
Rhode Island: Sunshine abounds across the region both Saturday and Sunday, with temperatures in the mid-30s. You can expect cloudiness to arrive on Monday.
New Hampshire: Look for partly to mostly sunny skies Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Temperatures will be in the mid-30s over the weekend and could nudge 40 on Monday.
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