New England Patriots

What Bill Belichick has said about the impending NFL trade deadline

"Things can change in a hurry."

Bill Belichick during postgame in Oct., 2017. AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack

With the NFL trade deadline approaching, Bill Belichick has offered quotes that are equal parts enigmatic and revealing. While explaining the mindset of how deals are made, the Patriots coach continues to espouse the unpredictability of the trade market.

The NFL trade deadline date is Tuesday, Oct. 31 at 4 p.m. EST. Based on the need, the Patriots have a few areas that could see reinforcements arrive (including wide receiver, linebacker and defensive end). According to Belichick, who has spoken about the trade deadline on multiple occasions in the last week, the Patriots are “open for business.”

On Monday, Oct. 23, Belichick offered a detailed quote on WEEI’s Dale & Holley with Keefe talking about the Patriots’ current position in the trade market, and how deals happen in the NFL:

The thing about us, other teams in the league know that we’re open for business. We’re not afraid to make a trade. If they are interested in trading somebody, we are usually a team that gets called because people think and know we’re open on those discussions. If we’re not interested we will tell them we’re not interested. Again, there’s no book on that. Every situation is different. Every trade is different. Every exchange is different, so you just have to take them as they come and if the two sides can agree, great. Sometimes one side wants something and the other side is just not ready to get to the same point.

You can go back and forth on those. You can talk two, three weeks at a time and think you are close and then nothing happens. There are other times where just in a matter of 10 minutes there is a conversation and somebody is available and here it is and there’s the trade. Boom, it’s done. It’s unpredictable. Those situations are hard to know how they are going to go. I can’t even tell you how many times I have felt we’re right on the verge of getting a deal executed and it doesn’t happen. There have been just as many times that 12 hours before we weren’t even talking about the player we talked about trading for. Things can change in a hurry.

A week later, on Monday, Oct. 30, Belichick offered additional insight into the methodology of NFL trades. Ultimately, he concluded that trying to predict upcoming deals is impossible:

Well, generally speaking, I think there are some teams that most teams aren’t going to be involved with – you know, probably their direct competitors in this type of a situation. Not saying it can’t happen, I just would say that’s a little more unusual. I mean, beyond that, some teams you have more conversations in the league with them than others, but in the end, I’m sure personnel departments in the league are doing the same thing.

You look at your roster, you look at the players who are not on your roster – whether they’re on your practice squad or whether they’re on some other team’s practice squad or whether they’re not on anybody’s team – and you put together a list of players that, if you had a need arise, would be the group of players that you go to. And, in conjunction with that, you look at the rosters of the other 31 teams in the league, and based on what you know, other information that you gather, the inactive list every week and the play time, you can start to see which players have a diminished role in another team’s system, for whatever those reasons are.

And, a lot of times if a team has a need in an area and they match that up with another team who’s not making a player active that the team with the depth issue feels like that player could give them depth, well then that’s a potential conversation. It doesn’t mean it’s going to happen, but that’s a potential conversation. So, for example in the [Akeem] Ayers trade with Tennessee a couple of years ago, Akeem wasn’t getting much playing time down there, was inactive for – I forget however many games it was, but it was for a couple games – and when we inquired about him or they mentioned it to us, however it went – I mean, look, if you’re making a player inactive every week and you can gain something in return on a trade, then maybe there’s something to talk about there. I don’t know.

So, again, every situation is different, every team is different, every player’s situation is different. I mean, there’s no go to the book on trades. OK, chapter one, here’s how it goes. It just doesn’t really work that way. It’s a very fluid situation. Things can change literally in a period of minutes, and I mean, that’s the world we live in, and there are a lot of things in that situation that are out of our control, out of any team’s control.

I mean, anytime you’re trying to exchange players, you have to find somebody else that you can find the right or fair exchange with that both teams feel is fair so that they’ll do it. So, that’s, I would say, in this business, not the easiest thing to do. There’s a lot of learning and communication and system pick up or familiarity that plays into the whole player exchange, so in a way, the player that you have that knows the system, knows what he’s doing, knows everything that he needs to do in your system has a good value to you. That’s what you put all the time and training into. So, if you get another player that doesn’t have that, there’s got to be enough to offset it or enough of a need to go through that. So, each one’s different.

I wouldn’t try to read too much into any of it. I think trying to predict what’s going to happen this time of year is – I don’t have any idea. I’m sure a lot of the other experts out there do, but I don’t. So, you just take it as it comes. If it makes sense and it works, then great. If it doesn’t, it doesn’t.