New England Patriots

The debate is over. Bill Belichick is the greatest NFL coach ever.

Patriots head coach Bill Belichick. Boston Globe

TONY DUNGY WON A SUPER BOWL as a player for the 1978 Steelers and as head coach of the 2006 Colts. He is an accomplished football man and, as a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame class of 2016, owns the sartorially dubious mustard-colored jacket to prove it. But when his Colts were facing Bill Belichick’s Patriots during the height of their rivalry a decade ago, Dungy’s last words of advice before his team took the field were not typically delivered via fire-and-brimstone speech, or accompanied by a final nugget of statistical wisdom. Instead, he often sounded like the police sergeant on Hill Street Blues warning his cops: “Hey, let’s be careful out there.”

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“I would tell them, ‘We’ve got to survive the first quarter, because no matter what we prepare for we’re going to see something we don’t expect,’ ” recalls Dungy, who since retiring after the 2008 season has been an analyst on NBC’s Sunday Night Football. “What I meant was if we don’t dig ourselves too big of a hole in the first quarter, we’ll be able to adjust and get our rhythm of what’s going to be good down the stretch. Now, we don’t want to get down by 18 /p>

Dungy’s anecdote isn’t meant to suggest that Belichick is playing chess while all of the other NFL coaches are playing Don’t Spill the Beans, although that’s often exactly what is happening. Dungy’s Colts actually had relative success against Belichick’s Patriots, prevailing in four of nine matchups over Dungy’s tenure. And the Colts’ one playoff win in the teams’ three postseason meetings stands as an affirmation of Dungy’s approach: In the 2007 AFC Championship game, the Colts indeed survived the early salvos and overcame a 21-3 deficit to rally for a 38-34 victory. It remains one of the most disappointing outcomes of Belichick’s extraordinary head coaching career with the Patriots, now approaching the end of its 17th season.
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