Politics

New poll shows Hillary Clinton’s lead shrinks in NH, while Senate race is neck-and-neck

Hillary Clinton holds hands with New Hampshire governor and candidate for US Senate Maggie Hassan (left), and New Hampshire gubernatorial candidate Colin Van Ostern (right), at a rally last week in Goffstown. CJ GUNTHER / EPA

Hillary Clinton’s once-dominant lead over Donald Trump in swing state New Hampshire has eroded to within the margin of error, while the Granite State’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race is still in a dead heat, according to a new poll.

In a WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll released Tuesday, 46 percent of likely voters would vote for Clinton, while 39 percent would vote for Trump. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points. Those numbers include undecided voters who were asked which way they are currently leaning.

The poll surveyed 641 likely voters last week from Wednesday through Sunday.

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Six percent of voters would cast a ballot for Libertarian Gary Johnson, while just one percent support Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

In mid-October, a WMUR/UNH poll found Clinton with a sizable 15-point lead over Trump.

In New Hampshire’s closely fought U.S. Senate race, Tuesday’s poll showed Democratic Gov. Maggie Hassan with a wisp of a lead over incumbent Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte, 46 percent to 44 percent, well within the margin of error.

In WMUR/UNH’s mid-October poll, Hassan was shown to be leading Ayotte by 8 percentage points. Tuesday’s poll looks to be more in line with other recent polls showing the Hassan and Ayotte virtually tied in a contest that could swing the balance of the Senate. As of Tuesday morning, FiveThirtyEight gave Hassan a 58.6 percent chance of winning the race.

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Most New Hampshire voters have made up their minds about who should be president with just one week left before Election Day. Four in five voters, or 79 percent, say they have definitely decided whom to support. Nine percent are leaning toward a candidate, while 12 percent are still trying to decide.

The poll also found both candidates were deeply unpopular among New Hampshire independents, with 55 percent viewing Clinton unfavorably and 44 percent with an unfavorable view of Trump.

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